US Leadership in the Asia Pacific: Trade in the Post Economic Crisis World
Mr Peter Allgeier
27 October 2009

On 27 October 2009, in collaboration with Eisenhower Fellowships and Ministry of Trade and Industry, CGL organised a dialogue session with Mr Peter Allgeier on the key challenges facing US trade in the Asia Pacific region. Moderated by Professor Tommy Koh, Ambassador-At-Large, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the session also discussed what the likely US responses will be, and how the US should tee itself up during Singapore and Japan’s APEC chairmanship and position itself for chairing APEC in 2011.

Former Deputy USTR and US Ambassador to the WTO Mr Peter Allgeier joined C&M International, Ltd. (CMI) as President on September 8, 2009, after nearly three decades at the Office of the USTR, where he was a negotiator on nearly every major US trade initiative since the Carter Administration.

From 2001-2009, Ambassador Allgeier served as Deputy USTR, nominated for this position by President George W. Bush. He served as US Ambassador and Permanent Representative to the WTO in Geneva, Switzerland from October 2005 until August 2009. During his career at USTR, Mr Allgeier has conducted major negotiations with countries throughout Asia, Europe (including the former Soviet Union), the Middle East, and Latin America and the Caribbean, as well as multilateral negotiations in the United Nations, the WTO, and its predecessor organization, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT).

Prior to joining USTR in June 1980, Mr Allgeier was an international economist with the US Agency for International Development (AID). He also was a Visiting Instructor of Economics at Duke University. Mr Allgeier graduated cum laude from Brown University, with an A.B. in international relations. He earned a Masters Degree in international relations from Johns Hopkins University, School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS). He has a Ph.D. in international economics from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. He also was a Rockefeller Fellow at Harvard Divinity School.

Mr Allgeier has received various awards and accolades, including the Presidential Distinguished Rank Award, which is the highest performance honor bestowed on career federal officials. He also is the recipient of the Distinguished Service Award from the Washington International Trade Association (WITA) and the Woodrow Wilson Distinguished Alumnus Award from Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS).

Emerging Strategic Issues and Wildcards
Peter Schwartz
27 July 2009

Peter Schwartz is cofounder and chairman of Global Business Network, a Monitor Group company, and a partner of the Monitor Group, a family of professional services firms devoted to enhancing client competitiveness. An internationally renowned futurist and business strategist, Mr Schwartz specialises in scenario planning, working with corporations, governments, and institutions to create alternative perspectives of the future and develop robust strategies for a changing and uncertain world.

From 1982 to 1986, Mr Schwartz headed scenario planning for the Royal Dutch/Shell Group of Companies in London. His team conducted comprehensive analyses of the global business and political environment and worked with senior management to create successful strategies. Before joining Royal Dutch/Shell, Schwartz directed the Strategic Environment Center at SRI International. The Center researched the business milieu, lifestyles, and consumer values, and conducted scenario planning for corporate and government clients.

Mr Schwartz is the author of Inevitable Surprises (Gotham, 2003), a provocative look at the dynamic forces at play in the world today and their implications for business and society. His first book, The Art of the Long View (Doubleday Currency, 1991; audio tape, 1995; paperback, 1996), is considered a seminal publication on scenario planning and has been translated into multiple languages. He is also the co-author of The Long Boom (Perseus, 1999), a vision for the world characterised by global openness, prosperity, and discovery; When Good Companies Do Bad Things (Wiley, 1999), an examination of, and argument for, corporate social responsibility; and China's Futures (Jossey-Bass, 2001), which describes very different scenarios for China and their international implications. He publishes and lectures widely and served as a script consultant on the films “The Minority Report”, “Deep Impact”, “Sneakers” and “War Games”. Mr Schwartz received a B.S. in aeronautical engineering and astronautics from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute.

Growth and Innovation in the Post-Crisis World
Professor Clayton M. Christensen
29 May 2009

Clayton M. Christensen is the Robert and Jane Cizik Professor of Business Administration at the Harvard Business School, with a joint appointment in the Technology & Operations Management and General Management faculty groups. His research and teaching interests centre on the management issues related to the development and commercialisation of technological and business model innovation. Specific areas of focus include developing organisational capabilities and finding new markets for new technologies.

Prior to joining the HBS faculty, Prof Christensen served as chairman and president of Ceramics Process Systems Corporation (CPS), a firm he co-founded with several MIT professors in 1984. CPS is a leading developer of products and manufacturing processes using high-technology metals and ceramics such as silicon nitride and silicon carbide. From 1979 to 1984, he worked as a consultant and project manager with the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), where he was instrumental in founding the firm's manufacturing strategy consulting practice. In 1982, Prof Christensen was named a White House Fellow, and served through 1983 (on a leave of absence from BCG) as assistant to U.S. Transportation Secretaries Drew Lewis and Elizabeth Dole.

Prof Christensen is the bestselling author of five books, including his seminal work The Innovator's Dilemma (Harvard Business Press, 1997) which received the Global Business Book Award for the best business book of the year, The Innovator’s Solution (2003), and Seeing What’s Next (2004). Recently, Prof Christensen has focused the lens of disruptive innovation on social issues such as education and health care. Disrupting Class (McGraw-Hill, 2008) looks at the root causes of why schools struggle and offers solutions, while The Innovator's Prescription (McGraw-Hill, 2009) examines how to fix our healthcare system.

Prof Christensen's writings have been featured in a variety of publications, and have won a number of awards, such as the Best Dissertation Award from The Institute of Management Sciences for his doctoral thesis on technology development in the disk drive industry; the Production and Operations Management Society's 1991 William Abernathy Award, presented to the author of the best paper in the management of technology; the Newcomen Society’s award for the best paper in business history in 1993; and the 1995, 2001, and 2008 McKinsey Awards for articles published in the Harvard Business Review.

Social Innovation and Social Enterprise: Implications for Public Policy
Professor Peter Shergold
23 February 2009

Professor Peter Shergold explored through his lecture three interwoven developments that together have the potential to transform the delivery of public services to the people. First, the creation of competitive social markets for public goods that establish the entitlements and obligations of citizens; second, the increased role of traditional not-for-profit organisations (NPO) and emerging social enterprises (SE) in the implementation of these publicly-funded programmes; and third, the capacity of governments to tailor service delivery to the needs of place, communities, or individuals. See Lecture Notes

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Social Marketing—Influencing and Sustaining Social Change
Dr Ned Roberto
15 October 2008
Behavioural changes amongst the public are often difficult to engineer. They are even more difficult when the benefit to society-at-large outweighs the net benefits to the individual, for example, when it involves issues of public health, environmental protection or public safety. Governments and other social change agents have to grapple with competing behaviours, attitudes, values and social norms as they strive to achieve their goal of influencing behaviour, for the overall benefit of the community. How can policymakers apply Social Marketing principles and techniques in public policy, to nudge citizens towards desired behavioural goals and bring about life-improving changes? See Lecture Notes and Lecture Slides.

Why the Welfare State Looks like a Free Lunch
Professor Peter H. Lindert
6 May 2008
It is well known among economists and policy makers that high taxes and large social transfers reduce economic growth and productivity—well known, but not always supported by evidence and history. In this lecture, Professor Peter H. Lindert, author of the ground-breaking 2004 book on social spending, Growing Public: Social Spending and Economic Growth since the Eighteenth Century, argued that contrary to popular belief, high tax-based spending on social transfers do not always impose a clear cost on economic performance in terms of GDP. See Lecture Notes

The Economics of Climate Change, a Global Deal and the Role of Asia
(in collaboration with the Ministry of the Environment and Water Resources)
Lord Nicholas Stern
10 April 2008
The last few years have seen a deepening understanding of climate change, particularly the risks the world faces from business-as-usual and of the scale of the response required in terms of reductions of greenhouse gas emissions. We can also understand the economic and technological instruments that can support and drive these reductions. Businesses too are becoming clear about what is necessary. This understanding is increasingly reflected in public demand for responsible action and in country after country this is being demonstrated in the political and electoral processes. It is public demand which will promote and sustain action at the individual, community, national and international levels.

The problem of climate change involves a fundamental failure of markets: those who damage others by emitting greenhouse gases generally do not pay. Climate change is a result of the greatest market failure the world has seen. Rich countries must lead the way in taking action to overcome this market failure. That means adopting ambitious emissions reduction targets; encouraging effective market mechanisms; supporting programmes to combat deforestation; promoting rapid technological progress to mitigate the effects of climate change; and honouring their aid commitments to the developing world. See Lecture Notes

Climate Change: What does it mean for Public Policy?
Mr Peter Schwartz
11 January 2008
Mr Peter Schwartz spoke about the wider implications of climate change for policymakers, how the science of climate change could reflect on geopolitical, economic, technological and social impacts and how the growing competition for energy resources played out against a backdrop of rising calls for restrictions on green-house gas emissions. Mr Schwartz also shared his insights on new policy trade-offs and dilemmas, possible technological solutions, and how governments should prepare societies for the hard choices they may be confronted with.

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Welfare Reform in America: Successes and Limitations
Professor Lawrence M. Mead
22 June 2007, 9.30 am
Professor Lawrence M. Mead is Professor of Politics at New York University, and specifically, a scholar of the politics and implementation of welfare reform in United States. Professor Mead visited Singapore from 21 to 22 Jun as CGL's Distinguished Visitor and delivered a New Insights Lecture on the experience of workfare in America. See Lecture Notes

China's Rise and its Consequences for East Asia and the United States
Professor David M. Lampton
24 May 2007, 3.30 pm
Professor David M. Lampton is George and Sadie Hyman Professor of China Studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, and Director of Chinese Studies at The Nixon Center. He was in Singapore from 24 to 30 May as CGL's Distinguished Visitor, during which he delivered this New Insights Lecture. Professor Lampton also held other closed-door events, including a full day practitioner's workshop for senior officials, and roundtable discussions with various government agencies. See Lecture Notes

Global Shifts and Megatrends in the Next 25 Years
Mr Peter Schwartz
17 May 2007, 3.30 pm
Peter Schwartz is cofounder and chairman of Global Business Network, a Monitor Group company, and a partner of the Monitor Group, a family of professional services firms devoted to enhancing client competitiveness. An internationally renowned futurist and business strategist, Schwartz specializes in scenario planning, working with corporations, governments, and institutions to create alternative perspectives of the future and develop robust strategies for a changing and uncertain world. See Lecture Notes

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Professor John L. Esposito
New Insights Lecture: Islam and the West on 19 October 2006
Professor John L. Esposito is Professor of Religion and International Affairs and of Islamic Studies at Georgetown University. He is also Founding Director of the Prince Alwaleed Bin Talal Center for Muslim-Christian Understanding in the Walsh School of Foreign Service. See Ethos interview with Professor Esposito.

Mr Martin Wolf
New Insights Lecture: Global Imbalance - Why They Matter on 14 September 2006
Mr Martin Wolf is Associate Editor and Chief Economics Commentator at The Financial Times, London. He was awarded the CBE (Commander of the British Empire) in 2000 for services to financial journalism - see Ethos interview on The Globalisation Game with Mr Wolf.

Mr Ronald A. Heifetz
New Insights Lecture: Leading People in Times of Change on 13 July 2006
Mr Ronald A. Heifetz is the King Hussein bin Talal Lecturer in Public Leadership, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University.

Dr Joseph Chamie
New Insights Lecture: Population, Politics and Policy on 15 May 2006
Dr Joseph Chamie was with the United Nation Secretariat for 28 years and served as Director of the Population Division for more than a decade - see Ethos interview on Population and Policy with Dr Chamie

New Insights Lecture: Undoing Harms - The Challenge of Effective Risk Control on 19 January 2006
Professor Malcom K. Sparrow
Professor Malcolm K. Sparrow is Professor of the Practice of Public Management at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. Also see Ethos interview on Developing the Craft of Regulation with Professor Sparrow.

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